Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Monza vs Atalanta prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Monza v Atalanta in the Serie A – Sunday 8 November, 15:00 WAT. Monza sit 18th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Atalanta are 12th on 14 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Monza – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Bologna 1–2 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 2.3 per game.
Atalanta – form over the last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Monza 1.2 – 2.3 Atalanta in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Monza 23% · draw 14% · Atalanta 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Atalanta to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.57, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Monza 1–2 Atalanta. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Monza23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Draw14%fair 7.36 · @3.80
Atalanta64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
3.54Expected goals
1.24Monza xG
2.29Atalanta xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monza 1.2 – 2.3 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Monza – last 6
LLLWLD
31 Oct
@ Bologna
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs Napoli
1–4
L
23 Oct
@ Torino
2–3
L
19 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Lazio
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 6
DLDDLL
5 Nov
vs Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
2 Nov
vs Parma
0–3
L
29 Oct
@ Fiorentina
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Frosinone
4–4
D
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Atalanta.
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Monza have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Atalanta 64%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–2 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Atalanta?
Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
