Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win70% · @1.28
Double chanceMillonarios or draw89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.88
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A – Thursday 12 November, 22:00 WAT. Millonarios sit 7th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Alianza Valledupar are 16th on 18 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Millonarios – form over the last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Deportes Tolima 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.
Alianza Valledupar – form over the last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Llaneros 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Millonarios 2.1 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Millonarios 70% · draw 19% · Alianza Valledupar 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – we make it 50%, the price implies 45%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Millonarios 2–0 Alianza Valledupar. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Millonarios70%fair 1.42 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.25
Alianza Valledupar11%fair 9.41 · @11.00
2.71Expected goals
2.06Millonarios xG
0.65Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Millonarios 2.1 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win
70%
1.42
1.28
Double chance
Millonarios or draw
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Millonarios -1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Millonarios to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 6
LDDWDD
9 Nov
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
5 Nov
vs America de Cali
0–0
D
21 Oct
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Jaguares
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLLWWD
9 Nov
vs Llaneros
1–2
L
2 Nov
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Valledupar 11%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 2–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
