Atletico Nacional 47%Draw 22%Once Caldas 31%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.23
78%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80
Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Primera A action on Thursday 12 November: Atletico Nacional take on Once Caldas at Estadio Atanasio Girardot from 22:00 WAT. Atletico Nacional sit 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Once Caldas are 8th on 27 (in the top half). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Once Caldas 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Once Caldas – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 1–1 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 11 Nov 2026, finished Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Across the last 2 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 0s, Once Caldas 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Atletico Nacional 1.6 – 1.2 Once Caldas in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Atletico Nacional 47% · draw 22% · Once Caldas 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–1 Once Caldas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Once Caldas31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
2.81Expected goals
1.58Atletico Nacional xG
1.23Once Caldas xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 1.6 – 1.2 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Once Caldas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.