Wed 11 Nov

Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Atletico Nacional 47%Draw 22%Once Caldas 31% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.23
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera A action on Thursday 12 November: Atletico Nacional take on Once Caldas at Estadio Atanasio Girardot from 22:00 WAT. Atletico Nacional sit 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Once Caldas are 8th on 27 (in the top half). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Atletico Nacional – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Once Caldas 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Once Caldas – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 1–1 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Nov 2026, finished Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Across the last 2 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 0s, Once Caldas 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Atletico Nacional 1.6 – 1.2 Once Caldas in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Atletico Nacional 47% · draw 22% · Once Caldas 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–1 Once Caldas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Atletico Nacional47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Once Caldas31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
2.81Expected goals
1.58Atletico Nacional xG
1.23Once Caldas xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 1.6 – 1.2 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win47%2.132.20
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.641.57
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapOnce Caldas +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.501.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.211.17
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.80–

Recent results

Atletico Nacional – last 6

DWDWWW
11 Nov@ Once Caldas1–1D
8 Novvs Deportivo Pereira4–3W
3 Nov@ Bucaramanga1–1D
30 Octvs Santa Fe2–0W
26 Octvs Independiente Medellin2–1W
23 Octvs Deportivo Pasto3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Once Caldas – last 6

DWWWDD
11 Novvs Atletico Nacional1–1D
7 Novvs Águilas Doradas1–0W
2 Nov@ Santa Fe2–0W
29 Octvs Alianza Valledupar1–0W
25 Octvs Deportivo Pereira1–1D
21 Oct@ Millonarios1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Nov 2026Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional1–1
2 May 2026Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional1–0
Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Once Caldas 31%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.