UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Primera División action on Saturday 14 November: UCV Moquegua take on Atletico Grau at Estadio 25 de Noviembre from 22:00 WAT. UCV Moquegua sit 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Grau are 11th on 21 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UCV Moquegua – form over the last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Universitario 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.
Atletico Grau – form over the last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Cusco 3–0 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.7 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model projects UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.6 Atletico Grau in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: UCV Moquegua 66% · draw 22% · Atletico Grau 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.94.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua66%fair 1.52 · @1.58
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.74
Atletico Grau12%fair 8.18 · @5.40
2.42Expected goals
1.80UCV Moquegua xG
0.62Atletico Grau xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 12%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
