Hungary v Northern Ireland: numbers & prediction

Hungary vs Northern Ireland prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Hungary host Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT. Hungary sit 2nd with 7 points from 4 games, while Northern Ireland are 1st on 8. The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Hungary – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Ukraine 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game.

Northern Ireland – form over the last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Georgia 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 28 Sep 2026, finished Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Hungary 1.2 – 0.5 Northern Ireland in expected goals – roughly 1.8 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Hungary 59% · draw 21% · Northern Ireland 20%.
• Safer play: Hungary or draw (80%) at 1.15.
• Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.63.
• Value angle: Hungary to win at 1.83 – we make it 59%, the price implies 55%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.52, above our fair price of 1.49, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Hungary 1–0 Northern Ireland. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.