Wed 11 Nov

Goias v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil

Goias

WWDWW
1–0
FT
Goias 77%Draw 17%Ponte Preta 6% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.62
64%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGoias to win ✓77% · @1.12
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Goias host Ponte Preta in the Serie B on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 23:15 WAT. Goias sit 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Ponte Preta are 20th on 15 (in the bottom three). A 43-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Goias – form over the last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat CRB 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Ponte Preta – form over the last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Criciuma 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Goias have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 18 Jul 2026, finished Ponte Preta 1–2 Goias.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Goias 2.5 – 0.6 Ponte Preta in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 64% for over 2.5 goals, 52% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Goias 77% · draw 17% · Ponte Preta 6%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – we make it 52%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Goias 3–0 Ponte Preta. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Goias77%fair 1.30 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @8.50
Ponte Preta6%fair 16.18 · @19.00
3.08Expected goals
2.46Goias xG
0.62Ponte Preta xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Goias 2.5 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win ✓77%1.301.12
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓94%1.071.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.25 ▲
Draw no betGoias (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapGoias -1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.191.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.551.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
First team to scoreGoias to score first ✓76%1.31–
Half-time resultGoias ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias ✗54%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Goias – last 6

WWDWWL
3 Novvs CRB2–1W
28 Oct@ Ceara2–0W
19 Octvs Nautico Recife0–0D
11 Oct@ Operario-PR2–0W
7 Octvs Athletic Club2–1W
2 Oct@ Novorizontino0–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LDDLLL
30 Oct@ Criciuma0–2L
24 Octvs Fortaleza EC2–2D
16 Octvs Atletico Goianiense1–1D
12 Oct@ Novorizontino1–5L
7 Octvs Juventude0–2L
3 Oct@ Cuiaba0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Ponte Preta v Goias1–2
Goias vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Goias vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Goias have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 6%.

How many goals will there be in Goias vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Goias 3–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Goias vs Ponte Preta?

Goias vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.