Wed 11 Nov

Ceara v America Mineiro: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil

Ceara

LLDLW
0–1
FT
Ceara 64%Draw 21%America Mineiro 16% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.68
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Ceara to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCeara to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Ceara vs America Mineiro prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie B action on Sunday 8 November: Ceara take on America Mineiro from 23:15 WAT. Ceara sit 16th with 43 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while America Mineiro are 19th on 29 (in the bottom three). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Ceara – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

America Mineiro – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Londrina 3–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 Jul 2026, finished America Mineiro 1–1 Ceara.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ceara 1.7 – 0.7 America Mineiro in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ceara 64% · draw 21% · America Mineiro 16%.
  • Safer play: Ceara or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Ceara to win at 1.73 – we make it 64%, the price implies 58%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ceara 1–0 America Mineiro. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ceara64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
America Mineiro16%fair 6.37 · @4.75
2.40Expected goals
1.72Ceara xG
0.68America Mineiro xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.7 – 0.7 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✗64%1.571.73 ▲
Double chanceCeara or draw ✗84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betCeara (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapCeara -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreCeara to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultCeara ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Ceara – last 6

LLDLWW
2 Nov@ Athletic Club1–2L
28 Octvs Goias0–2L
17 Octvs Juventude2–2D
13 Oct@ Botafogo SP0–1L
8 Octvs Criciuma1–0W
3 Oct@ Avai1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

America Mineiro – last 6

WWWLLL
1 Nov@ Londrina3–1W
26 Octvs Cuiaba1–0W
17 Octvs Operario-PR1–0W
12 Oct@ Criciuma0–1L
8 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
3 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026America Mineiro v Ceara1–1
Ceara vs America Mineiro head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ceara vs America Mineiro?

On our numbers Ceara have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and America Mineiro 16%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs America Mineiro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Ceara vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.