Wed 11 Nov

FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia
1–0
FT
FC Tallinn 23%Draw 15%Tallinna Kalev 62% Expected goals 1.33 – 2.34
62%
ZoraTips pick

Tallinna Kalev to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.74Odds

Picks by market

ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A – Sunday 8 November, 11:30 WAT. FC Tallinn sit 8th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tallinna Kalev are 7th on 41 (in the bottom half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

FC Tallinn – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Tallinna Kalev – form over the last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Elva 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 1–1 FC Tallinn. Across the last 3 meetings FC Tallinn have won 0s, Tallinna Kalev 1, with 2 draws, averaging 3.3 goals, with both sides scoring 3 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.3 Tallinna Kalev in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC Tallinn 23% · draw 15% · Tallinna Kalev 62%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.28.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Tallinna Kalev to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: FC Tallinn 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC Tallinn23%fair 4.34 · @3.46
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @4.10
Tallinna Kalev62%fair 1.61 · @1.74
3.67Expected goals
1.33FC Tallinn xG
2.34Tallinna Kalev xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.3 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTallinna Kalev to win ✗62%1.611.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗71%1.411.28
Draw no betTallinna Kalev (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapFC Tallinn +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.141.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.24
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.921.69
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.501.41
First team to scoreTallinna Kalev to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultTallinna Kalev ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

FC Tallinn – last 6

LWLLWL
1 Nov@ Nõmme United II1–3L
24 Oct@ Nõmme Kalju II2–1W
19 Octvs Viimsi0–3L
15 Octvs Tartu Welco0–7L
10 Oct@ Flora II2–1W
3 Octvs Laagri0–10L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

DWLLLL
1 Nov@ Elva0–0D
29 Octvs Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
23 Oct@ Tartu Welco2–3L
19 Octvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
10 Octvs Viimsi1–2L
24 Sep@ Elva2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Tallinna Kalev v FC Tallinn1–1
14 May 2026FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev1–1
15 Mar 2026Tallinna Kalev v FC Tallinn5–1
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.

Who will win FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tallinna Kalev 62%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.