Thu 12 Nov

Elva v Nõmme United II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Nike Arena

Elva

DDDLW
2–1
FT
Elva 40%Draw 19%Nõmme United II 40% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.76
71%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Nõmme United II to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✓40% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.38

Elva vs Nõmme United II prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Elva v Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A – Sunday 8 November, 11:30 WAT, Nike Arena. Elva sit 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme United II are 9th on 40 (in the bottom three). A 15-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Elva – form over the last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Tallinna Kalev 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Nõmme United II – form over the last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 3–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 30 Aug 2026, finished Nõmme United II 0–1 Elva. Across the last 2 meetings Elva have won 1, Nõmme United II 1, with 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Elva 1.8 – 1.8 Nõmme United II in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for over 2.5 goals, 71% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Elva 40% · draw 19% · Nõmme United II 40%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.28.
  • Value angle: Nõmme United II to win at 2.72 – we make it 40%, the price implies 37%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Elva40%fair 2.47 · @2.11
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.74
Nõmme United II40%fair 2.48 · @2.72
3.52Expected goals
1.76Elva xG
1.76Nõmme United II xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Elva 1.8 – 1.8 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✓40%2.472.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.28
Draw no betElva (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapNõmme United II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.961.88
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
First team to scoreElva to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.38–

Recent results

Elva – last 6

DDDLWD
1 Novvs Tallinna Kalev0–0D
25 Octvs FCI Levadia II3–3D
18 Oct@ Nõmme Kalju II0–0D
9 Oct@ Tartu Welco0–4L
24 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev3–2W
19 Sepvs FC Tallinn1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nõmme United II – last 6

WLLLWW
1 Novvs FC Tallinn3–1W
22 Oct@ Flora II2–3L
18 Oct@ Tartu Welco3–4L
9 Octvs FCI Levadia II0–1L
21 Sep@ Nõmme Kalju II3–2W
13 Sepvs Viimsi1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Nõmme United II v Elva0–1
19 Apr 2026Elva v Nõmme United II1–3
Elva vs Nõmme United II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme United II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Elva vs Nõmme United II?

On our numbers Elva have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nõmme United II 40%.

How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme United II?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme United II?

Our predicted score is Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Elva vs Nõmme United II?

Elva vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.