Sun 15 Nov

Cobreloa v Recoleta: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Zorros del Desierto
6–1
FT
Cobreloa 58%Draw 22%Recoleta 20% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.95
80%
ZoraTips pick

Cobreloa or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCobreloa to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceCobreloa or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Cobreloa vs Recoleta prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Cobreloa host Recoleta in the Primera B on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 19:00 WAT at Estadio Zorros del Desierto. Cobreloa sit 1st with 54 points from 29 games (top of the table), while Recoleta are 7th on 42 (in the top half). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Cobreloa – form over the last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Deportes Copiapo 1–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Recoleta – form over the last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Magallanes 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, Recoleta have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Recoleta 2–2 Cobreloa.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Cobreloa 1.8 – 1.0 Recoleta in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Cobreloa 58% · draw 22% · Recoleta 20%.
  • Safer play: Cobreloa or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Cobreloa or draw, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Cobreloa58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Recoleta20%fair 5.01 · @4.20
2.76Expected goals
1.81Cobreloa xG
0.95Recoleta xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Cobreloa 1.8 – 1.0 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCobreloa to win ✓58%1.721.73
Double chanceCobreloa or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.75
Draw no betCobreloa (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapRecoleta +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
First team to scoreCobreloa to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultCobreloa ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Cobreloa – last 6

LLWWLD
11 Oct@ Deportes Copiapo1–2L
7 Oct@ Coquimbo Unido1–2L
3 Oct@ Deportes Temuco1–0W
26 Sepvs Santiago Wanderers1–0W
23 Sepvs Coquimbo Unido1–2L
11 Sep@ Antofagasta0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Recoleta – last 6

LWDWWD
10 Octvs Magallanes1–2L
3 Octvs Santiago Wanderers2–1W
14 Sep@ Deportes Santa Cruz0–0D
9 Sepvs San Marcos de Arica2–1W
6 Sep@ Antofagasta2–1W
30 Aug@ Curico Unido0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 May 2026Recoleta v Cobreloa2–2
Cobreloa vs Recoleta head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

Our pick is Cobreloa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

On our numbers Cobreloa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recoleta 20%.

How many goals will there be in Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Cobreloa 1–0 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cobreloa vs Recoleta?

Cobreloa vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.