Sun 15 Nov

Union San Felipe v San Luis: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
0–1
FT
Union San Felipe 27%Draw 24%San Luis 49% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.52
57%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds
2

Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSan Luis to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Union San Felipe vs San Luis prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera B action on Wednesday 30 September: Union San Felipe take on San Luis at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe from 22:00 WAT. Union San Felipe sit 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while San Luis are 2nd on 54 (in the top four). A 31-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Union San Felipe – form over the last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Deportes Copiapo 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

San Luis – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Antofagasta 2–1 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, San Luis have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished San Luis 4–0 Union San Felipe.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.5 San Luis in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Union San Felipe 27% · draw 24% · San Luis 49%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: San Luis to win at 2.25 – we make it 49%, the price implies 44%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 57% confidence at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Union San Felipe27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
San Luis49%fair 2.04 · @2.25
2.58Expected goals
1.06Union San Felipe xG
1.52San Luis xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.5 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Luis to win ✓49%2.042.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.80
Draw no betSan Luis (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapUnion San Felipe +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSan Luis to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Luis / FT San Luis ✗29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Union San Felipe – last 6

LDDLLW
26 Sepvs Deportes Copiapo1–4L
5 Sep@ Magallanes0–0D
29 Augvs Deportes Santa Cruz0–0D
24 Aug@ Curico Unido0–2L
16 Augvs Cobreloa0–1L
13 Aug@ San Marcos de Arica1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

San Luis – last 6

WWWLWD
15 Sepvs Antofagasta2–1W
5 Sepvs Cobreloa4–2W
30 Aug@ Deportes Iquique1–0W
25 Augvs Santiago Wanderers0–1L
17 Aug@ Deportes Santa Cruz2–0W
13 Augvs Deportes Temuco1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026San Luis v Union San Felipe4–0
Union San Felipe vs San Luis head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Union San Felipe vs San Luis?

On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Luis 49%.

How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs San Luis?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs San Luis?

Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Union San Felipe vs San Luis?

Union San Felipe vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.