Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✗91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is San Marcos de Arica v Union San Felipe in the Primera B – Thursday 13 August, 01:30 WAT, Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica sit 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Union San Felipe are 15th on 23 (in the bottom three). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica – form over the last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Santiago Wanderers 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Union San Felipe – form over the last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Recoleta 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
On form, San Marcos de Arica have the edge: 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 23 Mar 2026, finished Union San Felipe 1–1 San Marcos de Arica.
Goals outlook
Our model projects San Marcos de Arica 1.9 – 0.6 Union San Felipe in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: San Marcos de Arica 69% · draw 22% · Union San Felipe 9%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked San Marcos de Arica to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
San Marcos de Arica69%fair 1.45 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
Union San Felipe9%fair 10.88 · @6.50
2.48Expected goals
1.91San Marcos de Arica xG
0.56Union San Felipe xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.9 – 0.6 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union San Felipe 9%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
