Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Deportes Santa Cruz host San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 00:00 WAT. Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th with 24 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while San Marcos de Arica are 6th on 43 (in the top half). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz – form over the last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to O'Higgins 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
San Marcos de Arica – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Curico Unido 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, finished San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Deportes Santa Cruz 41% · draw 22% · San Marcos de Arica 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 55% confidence at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.81, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Deportes Santa Cruz41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
2.36Expected goals
1.22Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.14San Marcos de Arica xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
