Wed 11 Nov

Union La Calera v Huachipato: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
1–0
FT
Union La Calera 45%Draw 20%Huachipato 35% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.25
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Huachipato to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera División action on Sunday 8 November: Union La Calera take on Huachipato at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan from 22:00 WAT. Union La Calera sit 16th with 24 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Huachipato are 11th on 33 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Union La Calera – form over the last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Coquimbo Unido 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Huachipato – form over the last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with D. La Serena 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Huachipato have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Huachipato 3–1 Union La Calera.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Union La Calera 1.5 – 1.3 Huachipato in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Union La Calera 45% · draw 20% · Huachipato 35%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Huachipato to win at 3.30 – we make it 35%, the price implies 30%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union La Calera 1–1 Huachipato. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Union La Calera45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Huachipato35%fair 2.89 · @3.30
2.73Expected goals
1.48Union La Calera xG
1.25Huachipato xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.5 – 1.3 Huachipato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion La Calera to win ✓45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betUnion La Calera (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapHuachipato +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
First team to scoreUnion La Calera to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera ✓25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Union La Calera – last 6

LLWDDD
4 Novvs Coquimbo Unido0–2L
30 Oct@ Coquimbo Unido0–1L
25 Octvs U. Catolica3–1W
11 Oct@ Concepción1–1D
27 Sep@ U. Catolica0–0D
24 Sepvs U. Catolica1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Huachipato – last 6

DDWWWD
1 Novvs D. La Serena0–0D
24 Oct@ A. Italiano1–1D
10 Octvs O'Higgins2–0W
3 Oct@ Universidad de Concepcion2–0W
16 Sep@ Coquimbo Unido1–0W
6 Sepvs Colo Colo0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Huachipato v Union La Calera3–1
Union La Calera vs Huachipato head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

On our numbers Union La Calera have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Huachipato 35%.

How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 Huachipato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Union La Calera vs Huachipato (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.