Wed 11 Nov

D. La Serena v Palestino: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio La Portada
1–0
FT
D. La Serena 35%Draw 21%Palestino 44% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.57
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Palestino to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPalestino to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22

D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

D. La Serena host Palestino in the Primera División on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT at Estadio La Portada. D. La Serena sit 9th with 37 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Palestino are 7th on 38 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

D. La Serena – form over the last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Huachipato 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

Palestino – form over the last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Concepción 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Palestino 5–1 D. La Serena.

Goals outlook

Our model projects D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.6 Palestino in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 56% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: D. La Serena 35% · draw 21% · Palestino 44%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Palestino to win at 2.45 – we make it 44%, the price implies 41%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: D. La Serena 1–1 Palestino. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

D. La Serena35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Palestino44%fair 2.28 · @2.45
2.95Expected goals
1.38D. La Serena xG
1.57Palestino xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.6 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalestino to win ✗44%2.282.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.57
Draw no betPalestino (draw no bet) ✗55%1.80–
Asian handicapD. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scorePalestino to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palestino / FT Palestino ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

D. La Serena – last 6

DWLLWW
1 Nov@ Huachipato0–0D
24 Octvs Concepción3–1W
11 Oct@ Everton de Vina2–3L
13 Sepvs Universidad de Chile0–3L
6 Sepvs Nublense2–1W
31 Aug@ Union La Calera1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Palestino – last 6

LDDWLW
3 Nov@ Concepción0–1L
25 Octvs Colo Colo1–1D
12 Oct@ Deportes Limache2–2D
1 Oct@ Alianza Lima2–1W
13 Sepvs U. Catolica2–3L
6 Sepvs Universidad de Concepcion2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Palestino v D. La Serena5–1
D. La Serena vs Palestino head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Palestino?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win D. La Serena vs Palestino?

On our numbers D. La Serena have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Palestino 44%.

How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Palestino?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Palestino?

Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Palestino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is D. La Serena vs Palestino?

D. La Serena vs Palestino (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.