Fri 13 Nov

Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã
Thu 19 Nov 2026
Flamengo 69%Draw 17%Atletico Paranaense 14% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.87
69%
ZoraTips pick

Flamengo to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.22

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win69% · @1.22
Double chanceFlamengo or draw86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.26

Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Serie A action on Thursday 19 November: Flamengo take on Atletico Paranaense at Estádio do Maracanã from 00:30 WAT. Flamengo sit 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Atletico Paranaense are 5th on 54 (in the top half). A 22-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Flamengo – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Gremio 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Atletico Paranaense – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Flamengo have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Flamengo 2.2 – 0.9 Atletico Paranaense in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Flamengo 69% · draw 17% · Atletico Paranaense 14%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Flamengo to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Flamengo69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.50
Atletico Paranaense14%fair 7.08 · @11.00
3.09Expected goals
2.22Flamengo xG
0.87Atletico Paranaense xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.9 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win69%1.451.22
Double chanceFlamengo or draw86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.861.95 ▲
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapFlamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.621.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.671.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.291.28
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.26–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

WWWDWD
4 Novvs Gremio3–1W
30 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama4–1W
27 Octvs Atletico-MG3–2W
23 Octvs Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
18 Oct@ Bahia3–0W
16 Oct@ Estudiantes L.P.0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense – last 6

LLDLWD
4 Novvs Vasco DA Gama1–3L
30 Oct@ Gremio0–2L
24 Oct@ Vitoria1–1D
17 Octvs Palmeiras0–2L
12 Oct@ Chapecoense-sc4–1W
9 Octvs Atletico-MG2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo1–1
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atletico Paranaense 14%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?

Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.