Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie A action on Thursday 19 November: Flamengo take on Atletico Paranaense at Estádio do Maracanã from 00:30 WAT. Flamengo sit 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Atletico Paranaense are 5th on 54 (in the top half). A 22-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Flamengo – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Gremio 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Atletico Paranaense – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.
On form, Flamengo have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Flamengo 2.2 – 0.9 Atletico Paranaense in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Flamengo 69% · draw 17% · Atletico Paranaense 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Flamengo to win, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Flamengo69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.50
Atletico Paranaense14%fair 7.08 · @11.00
3.09Expected goals
2.22Flamengo xG
0.87Atletico Paranaense xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.9 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atletico Paranaense 14%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.