Fri 13 Nov

Cruzeiro v Palmeiras: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Mineirão
Thu 19 Nov 2026
Cruzeiro 29%Draw 21%Palmeiras 50% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.63
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.59

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Cruzeiro host Palmeiras in the Serie A on Thursday 19 November, kicking off at 00:30 WAT at Estádio Mineirão. Cruzeiro sit 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Palmeiras are 2nd on 73 (in the top four). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Cruzeiro – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Bahia 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Palmeiras – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 1–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Cruzeiro have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Cruzeiro 1.2 – 1.6 Palmeiras in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Cruzeiro 29% · draw 21% · Palmeiras 50%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–1 Palmeiras. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Cruzeiro29%fair 3.39 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Palmeiras50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
2.82Expected goals
1.18Cruzeiro xG
1.63Palmeiras xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.2 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win50%2.012.00
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.62
Draw no betPalmeiras (draw no bet)63%1.59–
Asian handicapCruzeiro +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.851.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.211.17
First team to scorePalmeiras to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.59–

Recent results

Cruzeiro – last 6

WWWWLW
6 Novvs Bahia3–2W
29 Oct@ Atletico-MG1–0W
24 Octvs Remo1–0W
18 Oct@ Gremio4–2W
13 Oct@ RB Bragantino2–4L
8 Octvs Sao Paulo2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Palmeiras – last 6

LWWDWL
8 Nov@ Vasco DA Gama1–2L
5 Novvs Remo6–1W
1 Novvs Vasco DA Gama1–0W
28 Oct@ Santos0–0D
24 Octvs RB Bragantino2–0W
22 Octvs Fluminense0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Palmeiras v Cruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Palmeiras 50%.

How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Mineirão.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.