Sao Paulo 42%Draw 24%Corinthians 34%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.06
65%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Sao Paulo to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSao Paulo to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Sao Paulo host Corinthians in the Serie A on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 01:30 WAT at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Sao Paulo sit 10th with 44 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Corinthians are 17th on 37 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sao Paulo – form over the last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Bahia 2–3 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
Corinthians – form over the last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Mirassol 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.2 per game.
On form, Sao Paulo have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Sao Paulo 1.2 – 1.1 Corinthians in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 39% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Sao Paulo 42% · draw 24% · Corinthians 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Sao Paulo to win at 2.60 – we make it 42%, the price implies 38%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sao Paulo 1–1 Corinthians. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Sao Paulo42%fair 2.40 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Corinthians34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
2.27Expected goals
1.21Sao Paulo xG
1.06Corinthians xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.2 – 1.1 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✗
42%
2.40
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Sao Paulo (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Sao Paulo to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Sao Paulo – last 6
LDWWLL
29 Oct
@ Bahia
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Mirassol
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Vitoria
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Cruzeiro
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Santos
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
WLDLLL
31 Oct
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
20 Oct
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Internacional
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Fluminense
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
