Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Botafogo v Atletico-MG in the Serie A – Thursday 5 November, 01:30 WAT, Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Botafogo sit 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico-MG are 7th on 50 (in the top half).
Form guide
Botafogo – form over the last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Remo 1–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Atletico-MG – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Gremio 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Botafogo 2.0 – 0.8 Atletico-MG in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Botafogo 64% · draw 21% · Atletico-MG 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Botafogo 2–0 Atletico-MG. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Botafogo64%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
Atletico-MG15%fair 6.79 · @5.50
2.82Expected goals
1.99Botafogo xG
0.83Atletico-MG xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Botafogo 2.0 – 0.8 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
64%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
Botafogo or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Botafogo to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Botafogo ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
LLWDLL
29 Oct
@ Remo
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Internacional
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
8 Oct
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico-MG – last 6
LLLLWW
1 Nov
@ Gremio
0–2
L
29 Oct
vs Cruzeiro
0–1
L
27 Oct
@ Flamengo
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Coritiba
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Atletico Torque
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico-MG 15%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 2–0 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
