Sat 14 Nov

India v Bhutan: numbers & prediction

SAFF Championship · Asia · Bangabandhu National Stadium

India

LWLLD
2–1
FT
India 75%Draw 16%Bhutan 9% Expected goals 2.38 – 0.68
58%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIndia to win ✓75% · @1.18
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.05

India vs Bhutan prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is India v Bhutan in the SAFF Championship – Saturday 14 November, 10:00 WAT, Bangabandhu National Stadium. India sit 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while Bhutan are 2nd on 1.

Form guide

India – form over the last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to New Zealand 0–5 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Bhutan – form over the last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Sri Lanka 1–4 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 3.0 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects India 2.4 – 0.7 Bhutan in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: India 75% · draw 16% · Bhutan 9%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – we make it 53%, the price implies 48%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 58% confidence at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: India 2–0 Bhutan. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

India75%fair 1.33 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @6.25
Bhutan9%fair 11.32 · @13.00
3.06Expected goals
2.38India xG
0.68Bhutan xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: India 2.4 – 0.7 Bhutan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndia to win ✓75%1.331.18
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.10 ▲
Draw no betIndia (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapIndia -1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.711.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
First team to scoreIndia to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultIndia ahead at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT India / FT India ✓51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.05–

Recent results

India – last 6

LWLLDD
12 Nov@ New Zealand0–5L
11 Novvs Maldives1–0W
6 Octvs Uruguay1–6L
3 Octvs Brazil0–4L
25 Sepvs Panama1–1D
9 Jun@ Tajikistan1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bhutan – last 3

LLW
8 Jun@ Sri Lanka1–4L
4 Jun@ Cambodia0–4L
31 Marvs Brunei2–1W
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between India and Bhutan.

India vs Bhutan head-to-head page →

SAFF Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bangladesh2200+56
2Bhutan2011-11
3Sri Lanka2011-41

More SAFF Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for India vs Bhutan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win India vs Bhutan?

On our numbers India have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bhutan 9%.

How many goals will there be in India vs Bhutan?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for India vs Bhutan?

Our predicted score is India 2–0 Bhutan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is India vs Bhutan?

India vs Bhutan (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.