Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTukums to win42% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.79
Valmiera BSS vs Tukums prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Valmiera BSS host Tukums in the Virsliga on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.
Form guide
Valmiera BSS – form over the last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Skanste 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They score 1.8 and concede 1.5 per game.
Tukums – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Auda 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.
On form, Valmiera BSS have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Valmiera BSS 1.5 – 1.6 Tukums in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 55% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Valmiera BSS 41% · draw 17% · Tukums 42%.
Value angle: Valmiera BSS to win at 3.10 – we make it 41%, the price implies 32%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 59% confidence at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Valmiera BSS 1–2 Tukums. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Valmiera BSS41%fair 2.44 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.60
Tukums42%fair 2.36 · @1.95
3.09Expected goals
1.53Valmiera BSS xG
1.56Tukums xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 1.5 – 1.6 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tukums to win
42%
2.36
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Tukums (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Valmiera BSS +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Tukums to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tukums / FT Tukums
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WDWDDL
7 Nov
vs Skanste
3–2
W
31 Oct
@ Leevon PPK
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs JFK Ventspils
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Tukums II
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Riga Mariners
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tukums – last 6
LLDLLD
8 Nov
vs Auda
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ FK Liepaja
0–0
D
19 Oct
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Riga
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Tukums.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tukums 42%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 1–2 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Valmiera BSS vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
