Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗57% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Deportivo Recoleta host Libertad Asuncion in the Copa Paraguay on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT.
Form guide
Deportivo Recoleta – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Olimpia 1–4 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Libertad Asuncion – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 5 Oct 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. Across the last 3 meetings Deportivo Recoleta have won 0s, Libertad Asuncion 3, with 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 – 1.7 Libertad Asuncion in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Deportivo Recoleta 22% · draw 21% · Libertad Asuncion 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.69.
Value angle: Libertad Asuncion to win at 1.89 – we make it 57%, the price implies 53%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Deportivo Recoleta22%fair 4.64 · @3.52
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.28
Libertad Asuncion57%fair 1.74 · @1.89
2.69Expected goals
0.95Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.74Libertad Asuncion xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 – 1.7 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertad Asuncion 57%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
