Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuizhou Zhucheng to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceGuizhou Zhucheng or draw ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Guizhou Zhucheng v Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One – Sunday 15 November, 08:00 WAT, Guiyang Olympic Sports Center.
Form guide
Guizhou Zhucheng – form over the last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Shandong Taishan II 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – form over the last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Ningbo Professional 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Guizhou Zhucheng have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Guizhou Zhucheng 1.6 – 1.0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Guizhou Zhucheng 42% · draw 32% · Heilongjiang Lava Spring 26%.
Safer play: Guizhou Zhucheng or draw (74%) at 1.36.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 55%, the price implies 50%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Guizhou Zhucheng or draw, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Guizhou Zhucheng 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Guizhou Zhucheng42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
Draw32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
Heilongjiang Lava Spring26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
2.64Expected goals
1.60Guizhou Zhucheng xG
1.04Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guizhou Zhucheng 1.6 – 1.0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guizhou Zhucheng to win✓
42%
2.36
2.30
Double chance
Guizhou Zhucheng or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Guizhou Zhucheng (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Heilongjiang Lava Spring +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Guizhou Zhucheng to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guizhou Zhucheng / FT Guizhou Zhucheng✓
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Guizhou Zhucheng – last 6
DDWLDW
8 Nov
vs Shandong Taishan II
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Shanghai Port II
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Dalian Kewei
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Shandong Taishan II
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Shanghai Port II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDLWLD
7 Nov
@ Ningbo Professional
1–2
L
31 Oct
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Yanbian Longding
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Wuxi Wugou
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Guangzhou E-Power
1–3
L
6 Oct
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guizhou Zhucheng and Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
What is the prediction for Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Guizhou Zhucheng or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Guizhou Zhucheng have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 26%.
How many goals will there be in Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Guizhou Zhucheng 1–1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Guizhou Zhucheng vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Guiyang Olympic Sports Center.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
