Piratas 60%Draw 22%CA La Paz 18%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.05
82%
ZoraTips pick
Piratas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Piratas to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win60% · @1.81
Double chancePiratas or draw82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.07
Piratas vs CA La Paz prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Liga De Expansión MX action on Thursday 12 November: Piratas take on CA La Paz from 01:00 WAT. Piratas sit 4th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top four), while CA La Paz are 1st on 30 (top of the table).
Form guide
Piratas – form over the last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Cancún 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
CA La Paz – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Tlaxcala 3–3 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, CA La Paz have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, finished CA La Paz 2–0 Piratas.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Piratas 2.1 – 1.1 CA La Paz in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Piratas 60% · draw 22% · CA La Paz 18%.
Safer play: Piratas or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.51.
Value angle: Piratas to win at 1.81 – we make it 60%, the price implies 55%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Piratas or draw, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Piratas 2–1 CA La Paz. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Piratas60%fair 1.67 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.75
CA La Paz18%fair 5.68 · @3.76
3.12Expected goals
2.07Piratas xG
1.05CA La Paz xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Piratas 2.1 – 1.1 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Piratas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Piratas vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Piratas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CA La Paz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Piratas 2–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs CA La Paz?
Piratas vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
