Sat 14 Nov

Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas: numbers & prediction

Copa Colombia · Colombia · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Wed 18 Nov 2026
Atletico Nacional 62%Draw 23%Once Caldas 15% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.79
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win62% · @1.61
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.37

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Copa Colombia action on Wednesday 18 November: Atletico Nacional take on Once Caldas at Estadio Atanasio Girardot from 00:30 WAT.

Form guide

Atletico Nacional – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Once Caldas 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Once Caldas – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 1–1 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Nov 2026, finished Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Across the last 2 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 0s, Once Caldas 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Atletico Nacional 1.8 – 0.8 Once Caldas in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Atletico Nacional 62% · draw 23% · Once Caldas 15%.
  • Safer play: Atletico Nacional or draw (85%) at 1.13.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.87.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Once Caldas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Atletico Nacional62%fair 1.62 · @1.61
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.74
Once Caldas15%fair 6.63 · @5.05
2.63Expected goals
1.84Atletico Nacional xG
0.79Once Caldas xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 1.8 – 0.8 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win62%1.621.61
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw85%1.181.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%2.001.87
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapAtletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.961.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.05
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultAtletico Nacional ahead at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.37–

Recent results

Atletico Nacional – last 6

DWDWWW
11 Nov@ Once Caldas1–1D
8 Novvs Deportivo Pereira4–3W
3 Nov@ Bucaramanga1–1D
30 Octvs Santa Fe2–0W
26 Octvs Independiente Medellin2–1W
23 Octvs Deportivo Pasto3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Once Caldas – last 6

DWWWDD
11 Novvs Atletico Nacional1–1D
7 Novvs Águilas Doradas1–0W
2 Nov@ Santa Fe2–0W
29 Octvs Alianza Valledupar1–0W
25 Octvs Deportivo Pereira1–1D
21 Oct@ Millonarios1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Nov 2026Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional1–1
2 May 2026Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional1–0
Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Once Caldas 15%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.