AS Gabes 40%Draw 24%Sporting Ben Arous 35%Expected goals 1.04 – 0.94
66%
ZoraTips pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Ben Arous to win @ 3.32 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAS Gabes to win ✓40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.22
AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Ligue 2 action on Saturday 14 November: AS Gabes take on Sporting Ben Arous at Gabes Municipal Stadium from 14:30 WAT. AS Gabes sit 27th with 2 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Sporting Ben Arous are 15th on 9 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AS Gabes – form over the last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with AS Soliman 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Sporting Ben Arous – form over the last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Sfax Railways 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Sporting Ben Arous have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects AS Gabes 1.0 – 0.9 Sporting Ben Arous in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Match result chances: AS Gabes 40% · draw 24% · Sporting Ben Arous 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.09.
Value angle: Sporting Ben Arous to win at 3.32 – we make it 35%, the price implies 30%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: AS Gabes 1–0 Sporting Ben Arous. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
AS Gabes40%fair 2.47 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.79
Sporting Ben Arous35%fair 2.83 · @3.32
1.99Expected goals
1.04AS Gabes xG
0.94Sporting Ben Arous xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: AS Gabes 1.0 – 0.9 Sporting Ben Arous expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Gabes to win✓
40%
2.47
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
AS Gabes (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Ben Arous +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
AS Gabes to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.22
–
Recent results
AS Gabes – last 6
DLLLDL
31 Oct
vs AS Soliman
1–1
D
26 Oct
@ Béni-Khalled
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ M'saken
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs CS Chebba
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Sfax Railways
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Mégrine
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Ben Arous – last 6
DWDDWL
31 Oct
@ Sfax Railways
0–0
D
26 Oct
vs Mégrine
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ BS Bouhajla
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs US Tataouine
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ AS Agareb
3–0
W
26 Sep
vs EM Mahdia
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Gabes and Sporting Ben Arous.
What is the prediction for AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
On our numbers AS Gabes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Ben Arous 35%.
How many goals will there be in AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
Our predicted score is AS Gabes 1–0 Sporting Ben Arous, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gabes Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
