América W v Toluca W: numbers & prediction

América W vs Toluca W prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is América W v Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil – Thursday 12 November, 02:00 WAT, Estadio Banorte. América W sit 1st with 37 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Toluca W are 6th on 27 (in the top half).

Form guide

América W – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Guadalajara W 3–1 on the road. They are averaging 4.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Toluca W – form over the last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Querétaro W 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They score 1.8 and concede 1.0 per game.

On form, América W have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Toluca W 1–7 América W. Across the last 2 meetings América W have won 2s, Toluca W 0, with 0 draws, averaging 5.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects América W 2.9 – 1.3 Toluca W in expected goals – roughly 4.3 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 78% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: América W 70% · draw 16% · Toluca W 14%.
• Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – we make it 63%, the price implies 58%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: América W 2–1 Toluca W. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.