Fri 13 Nov

Paysandu v Uruguay Montevideo: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Paysandu 56%Draw 16%Uruguay Montevideo 28% Expected goals 1.59 – 0.98
56%
ZoraTips pick

Paysandu to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.60

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaysandu to win56% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win84% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.20

Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Segunda División action on Saturday 14 November: Paysandu take on Uruguay Montevideo from 23:30 WAT. Paysandu sit 6th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Uruguay Montevideo are 14th on 22 (in the bottom three). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Paysandu – form over the last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Oriental 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.

Uruguay Montevideo – form over the last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Huracan 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Paysandu have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, finished Uruguay Montevideo 1–0 Paysandu.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Paysandu 1.6 – 1.0 Uruguay Montevideo in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Paysandu 56% · draw 16% · Uruguay Montevideo 28%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Paysandu to win, rated at 56% confidence at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Paysandu56%fair 1.79 · @1.60
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @3.60
Uruguay Montevideo28%fair 3.61 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.59Paysandu xG
0.98Uruguay Montevideo xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Paysandu 1.6 – 1.0 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaysandu to win56%1.791.60
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.20–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.94–
Draw no betPaysandu (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapUruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.971.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.13–
First team to scorePaysandu to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paysandu / FT Paysandu31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.20–

Recent results

Paysandu – last 6

DWWWLD
1 Nov@ Oriental1–1D
27 Octvs Colón3–2W
17 Oct@ Fenix1–0W
10 Octvs Rentistas2–1W
3 Oct@ Miramar0–1L
28 Sepvs Tacuarembo2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

DWDLLL
31 Octvs Sportivo Huracan0–0D
24 Oct@ CA River Plate2–1W
19 Oct@ Oriental1–1D
10 Octvs Colón1–3L
4 Oct@ Fenix0–2L
26 Sepvs Rentistas1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Uruguay Montevideo v Paysandu1–0
Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our pick is Paysandu to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

On our numbers Paysandu have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Uruguay Montevideo 28%.

How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.