Value bet: Juventud to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultWanderers to win41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.12
Wanderers vs Juventud prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Primera División Apertura action on Tuesday 17 November: Wanderers take on Juventud from 00:00 WAT. Wanderers sit 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Juventud are 8th on 18 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Wanderers – form over the last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Lito 0–4 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Juventud – form over the last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Juventud have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Juventud 2–5 Wanderers.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Wanderers 1.3 – 1.2 Juventud in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Wanderers 41% · draw 22% · Juventud 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Juventud to win at 3.00 – we make it 37%, the price implies 33%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Juventud. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Wanderers41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Juventud37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.29Wanderers xG
1.21Juventud xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.2 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wanderers vs Juventud?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventud 37%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Juventud?
Wanderers vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
