Sun 15 Nov

SONABEL v USFA: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Burkina-Faso · Stade de la SONABEL

SONABEL

LWWLL
3–2
FT

USFA

WLWWW
SONABEL 23%Draw 28%USFA 49% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.15
69%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultUSFA to win ✗49% · @1.94
Double chanceUSFA or draw ✗77% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.82

SONABEL vs USFA prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is SONABEL v USFA in the Ligue 1 – Sunday 15 November, 16:30 WAT, Stade de la SONABEL. SONABEL sit 11th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while USFA are 3rd on 17 (in the top four).

Form guide

SONABEL – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Rahimo 0–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.

USFA – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Comoé 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, USFA have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Mar 2026, finished SONABEL 1–1 USFA.

Goals outlook

Our model projects SONABEL 0.8 – 1.2 USFA in expected goals – roughly 1.9 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: SONABEL 23% · draw 28% · USFA 49%.
  • Safer play: USFA or draw (77%) at 1.16.
  • Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.47.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: SONABEL 0–1 USFA. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

SONABEL23%fair 4.37 · @3.90
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.85
USFA49%fair 2.04 · @1.94
1.91Expected goals
0.75SONABEL xG
1.15USFA xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%

From our goals model: SONABEL 0.8 – 1.2 USFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (ZoraTips)

SONABELUSFA
Attack vs Ligue 1 average+9%+15%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-24%
Our expected goals here0.881.18

Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSFA to win ✗49%2.041.94
Double chanceUSFA or draw ✗77%1.301.16
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.47
Draw no betUSFA (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapSONABEL +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.441.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.161.06
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.05–
First team to scoreUSFA to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT USFA / FT USFA ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.82–

Recent results

SONABEL – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Rahimo0–1L
10 Oct@ Sporting Cascades3–0W
5 Octvs Comoé2–0W
26 Sep@ FocuSport2–3L
18 Sepvs Majestic0–1L
13 Mar@ Vitesse0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

USFA – last 6

WLWWWD
24 Octvs Comoé1–0W
12 Octvs ASFA-Yennenga1–2L
4 Oct@ RCK2–0W
27 Sepvs Salitas3–0W
19 Sep@ Maya1–0W
3 Apr@ CFFEB1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026SONABEL v USFA1–1
SONABEL vs USFA head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo9711+1122
2FocuSport9603+118
3USFA8521+717
4Réal du Faso9522+517
5Douanes9522+617
6ASFA-Yennenga9522+617
7Vitesse8431+415
8CFFEB8422+714
9ASFB9324-211
10Sporting Cascades9324-411
11SONABEL821507
12Majestic9216-67
13Maya8134-56
14Comoé9126-75
15RCK9126-125
16Salitas8116-114

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SONABEL vs USFA?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win SONABEL vs USFA?

On our numbers SONABEL have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 28% and USFA 49%.

How many goals will there be in SONABEL vs USFA?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SONABEL vs USFA?

Our predicted score is SONABEL 0–1 USFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is SONABEL vs USFA?

SONABEL vs USFA (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la SONABEL.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.