Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Douane to win ✗43% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Chemal vs AC Douane prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Premier League action on Sunday 8 November: Chemal take on AC Douane from 18:50 WAT. Chemal sit 8th with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while AC Douane are 7th on 6 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Chemal – form over the last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Gendrim 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
AC Douane – form over the last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Nouakchott King's 4–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Chemal 1.0 – 1.2 AC Douane in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Chemal 34% · draw 23% · AC Douane 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.97.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – we make it 54%, the price implies 51%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Chemal 1–1 AC Douane. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Chemal34%fair 2.95 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @2.97
AC Douane43%fair 2.31 · @2.27
2.27Expected goals
1.04Chemal xG
1.23AC Douane xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chemal 1.0 – 1.2 AC Douane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Douane to win✗
43%
2.31
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
AC Douane (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Chemal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
AC Douane to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Douane / FT AC Douane✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Chemal – last 6
DDWLWL
26 Oct
vs Gendrim
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Police
0–0
D
25 May
vs Pompiers
1–0
W
12 May
vs Nouakchott King's
3–4
L
14 Mar
vs N'Zidane
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Gendrim
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AC Douane – last 6
WLWDLD
29 Oct
@ Nouakchott King's
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Gendrim
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Hafia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hafia
2–2
D
19 May
vs Gendrim
0–1
L
4 May
vs Nouadhibou
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemal and AC Douane.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chemal vs AC Douane?
On our numbers Chemal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Douane 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chemal vs AC Douane?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemal vs AC Douane?
Our predicted score is Chemal 1–1 AC Douane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chemal vs AC Douane?
Chemal vs AC Douane (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
