Wed 11 Nov

El Geish v Asyut Petrol: numbers & prediction

Cup · Egypt · Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
0–1
FT
El Geish 63%Draw 23%Asyut Petrol 14% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.55
86%
ZoraTips pick

El Geish or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: El Geish to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEl Geish to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEl Geish or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

El Geish host Asyut Petrol in the Cup on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.

Form guide

El Geish – form over the last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Al Ittihad 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

Asyut Petrol – form over the last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Enppi 0–0 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

On form, Asyut Petrol have the edge: 0.8 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects El Geish 1.6 – 0.5 Asyut Petrol in expected goals – roughly 2.1 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: El Geish 63% · draw 23% · Asyut Petrol 14%.
  • Safer play: El Geish or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: El Geish to win at 1.95 – we make it 63%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked El Geish or draw, rated at 86% confidence at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: El Geish 1–0 Asyut Petrol. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

El Geish63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Asyut Petrol14%fair 7.36 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.57El Geish xG
0.55Asyut Petrol xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: El Geish 1.6 – 0.5 Asyut Petrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEl Geish to win ✗63%1.581.95 ▲
Double chanceEl Geish or draw ✗86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.57
Draw no betEl Geish (draw no bet) ✗82%1.21–
Asian handicapEl Geish -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreEl Geish to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT El Geish / FT El Geish ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.29–

Recent results

El Geish – last 6

DLLLDL
30 Oct@ Al Ittihad0–0D
20 Octvs Pyramids FC1–4L
13 Oct@ National Bank of Egypt0–3L
14 Sepvs Smouha SC0–1L
7 Sep@ Olympic El Qanah1–1D
1 Sepvs Masr0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Asyut Petrol – last 6

DDLWLL
3 Nov@ Enppi0–0D
30 Octvs El Gouna FC1–1D
20 Octvs Zamalek SC0–1L
13 Oct@ Abu Qair Semad2–1W
7 Octvs Al Ahly0–5L
15 Sepvs Future FC0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between El Geish and Asyut Petrol.

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

Our pick is El Geish or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

On our numbers El Geish have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Asyut Petrol 14%.

How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

Our predicted score is El Geish 1–0 Asyut Petrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?

El Geish vs Asyut Petrol (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.