Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSmouha SC to win ✓63% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.09
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Smouha SC vs El Minya prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Cup action on Friday 6 November: Smouha SC take on El Minya from 13:30 WAT.
Form guide
Smouha SC – form over the last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Pyramids FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Smouha SC 1.8 – 0.8 El Minya in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Smouha SC 63% · draw 18% · El Minya 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.09.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.09 – we make it 55%, the price implies 48%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Smouha SC63%fair 1.58 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.10
El Minya19%fair 5.30 · @8.05
2.68Expected goals
1.84Smouha SC xG
0.84El Minya xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 1.8 – 0.8 El Minya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Smouha SC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
Smouha SC (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Smouha SC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Smouha SC to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Smouha SC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Smouha SC / FT Smouha SC✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Smouha SC – last 6
LDWWWL
3 Nov
vs Pyramids FC
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Petrojet
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ El Gouna FC
2–0
W
12 Oct
vs Ghazl El Mehalla
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ El Geish
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Ceramica Cleopatra
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Minya
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and El Minya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Smouha SC vs El Minya?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and El Minya 19%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs El Minya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 2–0 El Minya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs El Minya?
Smouha SC vs El Minya (Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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