Wed 11 Nov

Piratas v Cancún: numbers & prediction

Piratas

DDWWL
1–1
FT

Cancún

DWWDD
Piratas 64%Draw 24%Cancún 11% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.80
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPiratas to win ✗64% · @1.61
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Piratas vs Cancún prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Piratas v Cancún in the Liga De Expansión MX – Monday 9 November, 02:00 WAT. Piratas sit 4th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Cancún are 5th on 25 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Piratas – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Cancún 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Cancún – form over the last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Piratas 1–1 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Nov 2026, finished Cancún 1–1 Piratas. Across the last 2 meetings Piratas have won 0s, Cancún 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Piratas 2.1 – 0.8 Cancún in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Piratas 64% · draw 24% · Cancún 11%.
  • Safer play: Piratas or draw (89%) at 1.13.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Piratas 2–0 Cancún. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Piratas64%fair 1.55 · @1.61
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.92
Cancún11%fair 8.98 · @4.92
2.86Expected goals
2.06Piratas xG
0.80Cancún xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Piratas 2.1 – 0.8 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPiratas to win ✗64%1.551.61
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓89%1.131.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.77
Draw no betPiratas (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapPiratas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.10
First team to scorePiratas to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultPiratas ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Piratas / FT Piratas ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Piratas – last 6

DDWWLW
6 Nov@ Cancún1–1D
1 Novvs Tapatío1–1D
25 Oct@ Dorados5–0W
18 Octvs Tepatitlán3–0W
10 Oct@ Tlaxcala2–4L
4 Octvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cancún – last 6

DWWDDW
6 Novvs Piratas1–1D
1 Novvs CDS Tampico Madero2–0W
24 Oct@ Tepatitlán4–0W
18 Octvs Venados FC1–1D
11 Oct@ Mineros de Zacatecas2–2D
4 Octvs Tapatío1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Nov 2026Cancún v Piratas1–1
23 Aug 2026Piratas v Cancún0–1
Piratas vs Cancún head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Piratas vs Cancún?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?

On our numbers Piratas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cancún 11%.

How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Cancún?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Cancún?

Our predicted score is Piratas 2–0 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Piratas vs Cancún?

Piratas vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.