Tlaxcala 38%Draw 21%CA La Paz 42%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.74
63%
ZoraTips pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓42% · @2.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Tlaxcala v CA La Paz in the Liga De Expansión MX – Thursday 5 November, 02:05 WAT, Estadio Tlahuicole. Tlaxcala sit 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while CA La Paz are 1st on 30 (top of the table).
Form guide
Tlaxcala – form over the last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
CA La Paz – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Dorados 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.7 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, finished CA La Paz 2–2 Tlaxcala. Across the last 2 meetings Tlaxcala have won 0s, CA La Paz 1, with 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Tlaxcala 1.6 – 1.7 CA La Paz in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 63% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Tlaxcala 38% · draw 21% · CA La Paz 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Tlaxcala38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.52
CA La Paz42%fair 2.39 · @2.49
3.38Expected goals
1.64Tlaxcala xG
1.74CA La Paz xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tlaxcala 1.6 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tlaxcala have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CA La Paz 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tlaxcala 1–2 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?
Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
