Sat 14 Nov

Machida Zelvia v Vissel Kobe: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Machida GION Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Machida Zelvia 48%Draw 21%Vissel Kobe 31% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.02
78%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.41

Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Machida Zelvia v Vissel Kobe in the J League Cup – Sunday 15 November, 06:00 WAT, Machida GION Stadium.

Form guide

Machida Zelvia – form over the last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Vissel Kobe 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Vissel Kobe – form over the last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Machida Zelvia 0–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Nov 2026, finished Vissel Kobe 0–1 Machida Zelvia. Across the last 2 meetings Machida Zelvia have won 1, Vissel Kobe 0, with 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Machida Zelvia 1.4 – 1.0 Vissel Kobe in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Machida Zelvia 48% · draw 21% · Vissel Kobe 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 53%, the price implies 50%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Vissel Kobe. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Vissel Kobe31%fair 3.20 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.37Machida Zelvia xG
1.02Vissel Kobe xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.4 – 1.0 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win48%2.092.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapVissel Kobe +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.07
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.41–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WDWDWD
11 Nov@ Vissel Kobe1–0W
8 Novvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0D
5 Novvs Shanghai Shenhua2–1W
1 Novvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
29 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–0W
24 Oct@ Vissel Kobe0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Vissel Kobe – last 6

LDWWWD
11 Novvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
8 Novvs Urawa2–2D
3 Novvs Ratchaburi3–2W
31 Octvs Nagoya Grampus3–1W
27 Oct@ Daejeon Citizen1–0W
24 Octvs Machida Zelvia0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Nov 2026Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia0–1
24 Oct 2026Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia0–0
Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagoya Grampus6501+615
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima6303+59
3Yokohama FC6204-36
4Vissel Kobe6204-86

More J League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vissel Kobe 31%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Vissel Kobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe (J League Cup) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.