Sun 15 Nov

Ario Eslamshahr v Saipa: numbers & prediction

Mon 16 Nov 2026

Saipa

DDLDL
Ario Eslamshahr 37%Draw 32%Saipa 31% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.70
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultArio Eslamshahr to win37% · @2.57
Double chanceArio Eslamshahr or draw69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.54

Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Azadegan League action on Monday 16 November: Ario Eslamshahr take on Saipa from 12:30 WAT. Ario Eslamshahr sit 7th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Saipa are 10th on 12 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Ario Eslamshahr – form over the last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Novin Ahvaz 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Saipa – form over the last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Havadar 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game.

On form, Ario Eslamshahr have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 21 Jun 2026, finished Saipa 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ario Eslamshahr 0.9 – 0.7 Saipa in expected goals – roughly 1.6 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 76% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ario Eslamshahr 37% · draw 32% · Saipa 31%.
  • Safer play: Ario Eslamshahr or draw (69%) at 1.30.
  • Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.42.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Under 2.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Ario Eslamshahr 0–0 Saipa. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ario Eslamshahr37%fair 2.67 · @2.57
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.61
Saipa31%fair 3.28 · @2.86
1.59Expected goals
0.88Ario Eslamshahr xG
0.70Saipa xG
43%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Ario Eslamshahr 0.9 – 0.7 Saipa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (ZoraTips)

Ario EslamshahrSaipa
Attack vs Azadegan League average+4%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-21%
Our expected goals here0.820.59

Our own ratings from every Azadegan League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArio Eslamshahr to win37%2.672.57
Double chanceArio Eslamshahr or draw69%1.441.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score57%1.751.42
Draw no betArio Eslamshahr (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapSaipa +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals51%1.971.88
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals76%1.311.23
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals90%1.111.03
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals98%1.02–
First team to scoreArio Eslamshahr to score first44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.54–

Recent results

Ario Eslamshahr – last 6

DLLWWL
9 Nov@ Novin Ahvaz0–0D
2 Novvs Fard Alborz0–3L
27 Oct@ Pars Jonoubi JAM0–1L
20 Octvs Naft Bandar Abbas4–0W
12 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah2–0W
5 Oct@ Mes Rafsanjan0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Saipa – last 6

DDLDLL
9 Novvs Havadar0–0D
2 Nov@ Be'sat Kermanshah0–0D
27 Octvs Naft Gachsaran0–1L
19 Oct@ Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1D
12 Octvs Shenavarsazi Qeshm0–1L
4 Oct@ Shahin Bandar Ameri0–2L
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Saipa v Ario Eslamshahr1–0
Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa head-to-head page →

Azadegan League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM9630+821
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm9531+418
3Fard Alborz9522+917
4Mes Rafsanjan9441+516
5Mes Soongoun9432+115
6Shahin Bandar Ameri9342013
7Ario Eslamshahr9414013
8Naft Gachsaran9333+112
9Novin Ahvaz9261+112
10Saipa9333012
11Naft Masjed Soleyman9324+211
12Be'sat Kermanshah9234-29
13Mes Kerman9144-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas9144-87
15Niroye Zamini9117-94
16Havadar9045-94

More Azadegan League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

On our numbers Ario Eslamshahr have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Saipa 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Our predicted score is Ario Eslamshahr 0–0 Saipa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.