Thu 12 Nov

Leones de Rosario v Sportivo Barracas: numbers & prediction

Primera C · Argentina
Mon 16 Nov 2026
Leones de Rosario 63%Draw 22%Sportivo Barracas 16% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.74
69%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.46

7/10Rating
1.46Odds
1

Value bet: Leones de Rosario to win @ 1.76 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultLeones de Rosario to win63% · @1.76
Double chanceLeones de Rosario or draw84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.60

Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Leones de Rosario host Sportivo Barracas in the Primera C on Monday 16 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT. Leones de Rosario sit 4th with 51 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Barracas are 7th on 40 (in the top half).

Form guide

Leones de Rosario – form over the last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Mercedes 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Sportivo Barracas – form over the last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Sacachispas 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

On form, Leones de Rosario have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 5 Oct 2026, finished Sportivo Barracas 0–2 Leones de Rosario. Across the last 2 meetings Leones de Rosario have won 2s, Sportivo Barracas 0, with 0 draws, averaging 2.0 goals.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Leones de Rosario 1.8 – 0.7 Sportivo Barracas in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Leones de Rosario 63% · draw 22% · Sportivo Barracas 16%.
  • Safer play: Leones de Rosario or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.54.
  • Value angle: Leones de Rosario to win at 1.76 – we make it 63%, the price implies 57%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Leones de Rosario63%fair 1.59 · @1.76
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Sportivo Barracas16%fair 6.43 · @3.98
2.52Expected goals
1.78Leones de Rosario xG
0.74Sportivo Barracas xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Leones de Rosario 1.8 – 0.7 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeones de Rosario to win63%1.591.76 ▲
Double chanceLeones de Rosario or draw84%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.54
Draw no betLeones de Rosario (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapLeones de Rosario -0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.931.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.461.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.201.15
First team to scoreLeones de Rosario to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultLeones de Rosario ahead at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leones de Rosario / FT Leones de Rosario39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.60–

Recent results

Leones de Rosario – last 6

WWWLDD
26 Octvs Mercedes1–0W
12 Octvs Fénix2–1W
5 Oct@ Sportivo Barracas2–0W
28 Sepvs Lujan0–1L
20 Sep@ General Lamadrid1–1D
12 Sep@ Lugano0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Barracas – last 6

DDDLDL
26 Oct@ Sacachispas1–1D
19 Octvs Sacachispas0–0D
12 Oct@ General Lamadrid0–0D
5 Octvs Leones de Rosario0–2L
27 Sep@ Atletico Atlas1–1D
21 Sepvs Canuelas0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Oct 2026Sportivo Barracas v Leones de Rosario0–2
6 Jun 2026Leones de Rosario v Sportivo Barracas2–0
Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas head-to-head page →

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lujan321976+2464
2Canuelas3217105+2161
3Deportivo Español3212164+1052
4Leones de Rosario3213127+651
5Central Cordoba3213109+949
6General Lamadrid329149-441
7Sportivo Barracas3211714040
8El Porvenir328168-440
9Central Ballester3210814-538
10Atletico Atlas3291013-537
11Claypole329914-1336
12Yupanqui3281113-335
13Fénix3281014-834
14Deportivo Muñiz3261115-1529

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

On our numbers Leones de Rosario have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Barracas 16%.

How many goals will there be in Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

Our predicted score is Leones de Rosario 1–0 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas?

Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.