Fri 13 Nov

Darlington 1883 v Bury: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England · Blackwell Meadows

Darlington 1883

DLLWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Bury

WWDLW
Darlington 1883 28%Draw 52%Bury 20% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.83
80%
ZoraTips pick

Darlington 1883 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.54 – our chance 52% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw52% · @3.54
Double chanceDarlington 1883 or draw80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27% · fair 13.75

Darlington 1883 vs Bury prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Darlington 1883 host Bury in the FA Trophy on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Blackwell Meadows.

Form guide

Darlington 1883 – form over the last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Oxford City 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

Bury – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Cleethorpes Town 1–0 at home. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Bury have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Darlington 1883 2.0 – 1.8 Bury in expected goals – roughly 3.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 65% for over 2.5 goals, 66% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Darlington 1883 28% · draw 52% · Bury 20%.
  • Safer play: Darlington 1883 or draw (80%) at 1.30.
  • Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.56.
  • Value angle: Draw at 3.54 – we make it 52%, the price implies 28%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Darlington 1883 or draw, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Darlington 1883 2–1 Bury. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Darlington 188328%fair 3.62 · @2.05
Draw52%fair 1.92 · @3.54
Bury20%fair 4.94 · @2.88
3.85Expected goals
2.02Darlington 1883 xG
1.83Bury xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Darlington 1883 2.0 – 1.8 Bury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw52%1.923.54 ▲
Double chanceDarlington 1883 or draw80%1.251.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score66%1.501.56
Draw no betDarlington 1883 (draw no bet)58%1.73–
Asian handicapBury +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.551.66 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.771.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals74%1.351.10
First team to scoreDarlington 1883 to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultDarlington 1883 ahead at half-time35%2.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Darlington 1883 / FT Darlington 188327%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27%13.75–

Recent results

Darlington 1883 – last 6

DLLWLD
10 Novvs Oxford City1–1D
31 Oct@ Spalding United2–3L
27 Oct@ Morecambe0–1L
24 Octvs Spennymoor Town3–0W
17 Oct@ AFC Telford United1–2L
10 Octvs Merthyr Town1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bury – last 6

WWDLWW
10 Novvs Cleethorpes Town1–0W
7 Nov@ Bamber Bridge1–0W
3 Novvs Avro2–2D
31 Octvs Workington1–2L
27 Octvs Leek Town5–3W
24 Octvs Prescot Cables3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Darlington 1883 and Bury.

Darlington 1883 vs Bury head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Darlington 1883 vs Bury?

Our pick is Darlington 1883 or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Bury?

On our numbers Darlington 1883 have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Bury 20%.

How many goals will there be in Darlington 1883 vs Bury?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Darlington 1883 vs Bury?

Our predicted score is Darlington 1883 2–1 Bury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Darlington 1883 vs Bury?

Darlington 1883 vs Bury (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Blackwell Meadows.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.