Fri 13 Nov

Chorley v Buxton: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England · Victory Park

Chorley

LLWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Buxton

DWWWD
Chorley 33%Draw 20%Buxton 47% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.67
65%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.49

6/10Rating
1.49Odds

Picks by market

ResultBuxton to win47% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.90

Chorley vs Buxton prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Chorley host Buxton in the FA Trophy on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Victory Park.

Form guide

Chorley – form over the last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Hereford 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.

Buxton – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Scarborough Athletic 2–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Buxton have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Oct 2026, finished Chorley 2–3 Buxton.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Chorley 1.4 – 1.7 Buxton in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Chorley 33% · draw 20% · Buxton 47%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.49.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Both teams to score, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Chorley 1–1 Buxton. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Chorley33%fair 3.03 · @2.59
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.54
Buxton47%fair 2.14 · @2.22
3.03Expected goals
1.36Chorley xG
1.67Buxton xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.4 – 1.7 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuxton to win47%2.142.22
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.541.49
Draw no betBuxton (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapChorley +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.711.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.14
First team to scoreBuxton to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buxton / FT Buxton27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.90–

Recent results

Chorley – last 6

LLWLDW
7 Novvs Hereford1–2L
31 Oct@ Spennymoor Town0–2L
27 Oct@ Radcliffe3–0W
24 Octvs Buxton2–3L
17 Octvs Worcester City1–1D
10 Octvs AFC Telford United2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 6

DWWWDL
7 Nov@ Scarborough Athletic2–2D
31 Octvs Marine4–2W
27 Octvs Harborough Town3–0W
24 Oct@ Chorley3–2W
17 Octvs Worksop Town2–2D
10 Oct@ King's Lynn Town0–1L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Oct 2026Chorley v Buxton2–3
Chorley vs Buxton head-to-head page →

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Bath City Truro City 115%3.95X25%3.65260%1.69 0.7–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.36
Bedford Town Chesham United 129%1.97X52%3.54219%3.04 1.6–1.3xG 1XBedford Town or draw 81%@1.27
Billericay Town Waltham Abbey 175%1.17X17%5.7528%11.25 2.8–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.38
Braintree Kettering Town 166%1.44X23%4.50211%4.95 3.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.40
Bridlington Town Macclesfield 112%10.75X19%5.90268%1.17 1.2–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs Buxton?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Chorley vs Buxton?

On our numbers Chorley have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Buxton 47%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Buxton?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs Buxton?

Chorley vs Buxton (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.