Wed 11 Nov

Real Cundinamarca v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Real Cundinamarca 36%Draw 23%Real Cartagena 41% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.27
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 2.69 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win41% · @2.69
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.19

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Real Cundinamarca host Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Thursday 12 November, kicking off at 00:00 WAT at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera. Real Cundinamarca sit 4th with 1 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Real Cartagena are 3rd on 4 (in the top four). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Real Cundinamarca – form over the last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Real Cartagena 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Real Cartagena – form over the last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Real Cundinamarca 1–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Real Cartagena have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Nov 2026, finished Real Cartagena 1–0 Real Cundinamarca. Across the last 2 meetings Real Cundinamarca have won 0s, Real Cartagena 1, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Cundinamarca 1.2 – 1.3 Real Cartagena in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Cundinamarca 36% · draw 23% · Real Cartagena 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.78.
  • Value angle: Real Cartagena to win at 2.69 – we make it 41%, the price implies 37%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Cundinamarca36%fair 2.76 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.97
Real Cartagena41%fair 2.45 · @2.69
2.44Expected goals
1.17Real Cundinamarca xG
1.27Real Cartagena xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Real Cundinamarca 1.2 – 1.3 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win41%2.452.69 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.831.78
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapReal Cundinamarca +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.131.05
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.19–

Recent results

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

LDLWDD
8 Nov@ Real Cartagena0–1L
1 Novvs Tigres FC0–0D
29 Oct@ Quindio0–2L
24 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
14 Octvs Bogota FC0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

WLDDWD
8 Novvs Real Cundinamarca1–0W
4 Novvs Quindio2–3L
29 Oct@ Tigres FC0–0D
24 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Nov 2026Real Cartagena v Real Cundinamarca1–0
2 Aug 2026Real Soacha v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Real Cundinamarca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 41%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Real Cundinamarca 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena?

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.