Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Ferro Carril v Club Nacional in the Copa Uruguay – Thursday 5 November, 01:00 WAT, Estadio Parque Artigas.
Form guide
Club Nacional – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Danubio 2–1 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Ferro Carril 0.6 – 1.9 Club Nacional in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Ferro Carril 11% · draw 18% · Club Nacional 71%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Ferro Carril11%fair 9.02 · @11.00
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @6.00
Club Nacional71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
2.48Expected goals
0.56Ferro Carril xG
1.92Club Nacional xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–215%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril 0.6 – 1.9 Club Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Nacional to win✓
71%
1.41
1.18
Double chance
Club Nacional or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.50
Draw no bet
Club Nacional (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Club Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Club Nacional to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Club Nacional ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Nacional / FT Club Nacional✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.24
–
Recent results
Ferro Carril
No recent results on record.
Club Nacional – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Nov
@ Danubio
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
20 Oct
vs Deportivo Maldonado
3–2
W
16 Oct
vs Rentistas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Atletico Torque
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril and Club Nacional.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
On our numbers Ferro Carril have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Club Nacional 71%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril 0–1 Club Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional?
Ferro Carril vs Club Nacional (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
