Thu 12 Nov

Socorro Sport v Estanciano: numbers & prediction

Sergipano 2 · Brazil
2–3
FT
Socorro Sport 62%Draw 23%Estanciano 15% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.72
85%
ZoraTips pick

Socorro Sport or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Socorro Sport to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSocorro Sport to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceSocorro Sport or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Socorro Sport vs Estanciano prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Socorro Sport host Estanciano in the Sergipano 2 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT. Socorro Sport sit 4th with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Estanciano are 3rd on 7 (in the top four). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Socorro Sport – form over the last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Maruinense 1–3 on the road. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Estanciano – form over the last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Frei Paulistano 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Socorro Sport 1.7 – 0.7 Estanciano in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Socorro Sport 62% · draw 23% · Estanciano 15%.
  • Safer play: Socorro Sport or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.61.
  • Value angle: Socorro Sport to win at 1.82 – we make it 62%, the price implies 55%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Socorro Sport or draw, rated at 85% confidence at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Socorro Sport 1–0 Estanciano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Socorro Sport62%fair 1.62 · @1.82
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.54
Estanciano15%fair 6.76 · @3.61
2.47Expected goals
1.75Socorro Sport xG
0.72Estanciano xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Socorro Sport 1.7 – 0.7 Estanciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSocorro Sport to win ✗62%1.621.82 ▲
Double chanceSocorro Sport or draw ✗85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.61
Draw no betSocorro Sport (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapSocorro Sport -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.982.01
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.171.12
First team to scoreSocorro Sport to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultSocorro Sport ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Socorro Sport / FT Socorro Sport ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Socorro Sport – last 3

LWD
4 Nov@ Maruinense1–3L
1 Novvs Independente Simão Dias5–0W
29 Oct@ Barra SE0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Estanciano – last 3

LWD
4 Novvs Frei Paulistano0–2L
1 Novvs Maruinense1–0W
29 Oct@ Independente Simão Dias1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Socorro Sport and Estanciano.

Socorro Sport vs Estanciano head-to-head page →

Sergipano 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Carmópolis5230+119
2Olímpico SE5221+38
3Caninde4211+37
4Socorrense4211+37
5Flamengo SE4112-14
6América de Pedrinhas4004-190
1Frei Paulistano4301+119
2Maruinense4301+59
3Estanciano421107
4Socorro Sport4112+24
5Barra SE4022-82
6Independente Simão Dias4022-102

More Sergipano 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

Our pick is Socorro Sport or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

On our numbers Socorro Sport have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estanciano 15%.

How many goals will there be in Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

Our predicted score is Socorro Sport 1–0 Estanciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?

Socorro Sport vs Estanciano (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.