Wed 11 Nov

Deren v Ulaanbaatar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mongolia

Deren

LDLWW
4–1
FT
Deren 23%Draw 11%Ulaanbaatar 66% Expected goals 1.63 – 2.89
66%
ZoraTips pick

Ulaanbaatar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.27
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.50

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Deren v Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League – Tuesday 10 November, 09:00 WAT. Deren sit 3rd with 45 points from 23 games, while Ulaanbaatar are 1st on 54.

Form guide

Deren – form over the last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Hunters 1–2 on the road. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Ulaanbaatar – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Central Stallions 3–2 at home. 4.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Ulaanbaatar have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 29 Oct 2026, finished Ulaanbaatar 1–0 Deren. Across the last 4 meetings Deren have won 1, Ulaanbaatar 3, with 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Deren 1.6 – 2.9 Ulaanbaatar in expected goals – roughly 4.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 83% for over 2.5 goals, 71% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Deren 23% · draw 11% · Ulaanbaatar 66%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.27.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Ulaanbaatar to win, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Deren23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Draw11%fair 9.17 · @6.50
Ulaanbaatar66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
4.52Expected goals
1.63Deren xG
2.89Ulaanbaatar xG
71%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%

From our goals model: Deren 1.6 – 2.9 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlaanbaatar to win ✗66%1.511.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.27
Draw no betUlaanbaatar (draw no bet) ✗74%1.34–
Asian handicapUlaanbaatar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
First team to scoreUlaanbaatar to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultUlaanbaatar ahead at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.50–

Recent results

Deren – last 6

LDLWWL
6 Nov@ Hunters1–2L
2 Nov@ Central Stallions3–3D
29 Oct@ Ulaanbaatar0–1L
25 Octvs Hunters2–0W
14 Octvs Erchim5–0W
11 Oct@ Central Stallions1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ulaanbaatar – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Novvs Central Stallions3–2W
2 Nov@ Hunters9–1W
29 Octvs Deren1–0W
25 Oct@ Central Stallions1–0W
18 Octvs Central Stallions2–0W
14 Octvs Khovd Western8–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren1–0
6 Jul 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–3
27 Jun 2026Deren v Ulaanbaatar0–2
23 May 2026Ulaanbaatar v Deren2–0
Deren vs Ulaanbaatar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our pick is Ulaanbaatar to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

On our numbers Deren have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ulaanbaatar 66%.

How many goals will there be in Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Our predicted score is Deren 1–2 Ulaanbaatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.