Thu 12 Nov

Deportivo La Guaira v Carabobo FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
0–0
FT
Deportivo La Guaira 32%Draw 22%Carabobo FC 45% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.39
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCarabobo FC to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39

Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Primera División action on Monday 9 November: Deportivo La Guaira take on Carabobo FC at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV from 00:30 WAT. Deportivo La Guaira sit 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Carabobo FC are 1st on 11 (top of the table).

Form guide

Deportivo La Guaira – form over the last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Portuguesa FC 3–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Carabobo FC – form over the last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Metropolitanos FC 2–0 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.

On form, Carabobo FC have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 29 Oct 2026, finished Carabobo FC 3–1 Deportivo La Guaira. Across the last 3 meetings Deportivo La Guaira have won 0s, Carabobo FC 2, with 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Deportivo La Guaira 1.1 – 1.4 Carabobo FC in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Deportivo La Guaira 32% · draw 22% · Carabobo FC 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Carabobo FC to win at 2.50 – we make it 45%, the price implies 40%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Deportivo La Guaira32%fair 3.08 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Carabobo FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
2.51Expected goals
1.12Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.39Carabobo FC xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.1 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win ✗45%2.222.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.73
Draw no betCarabobo FC (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapDeportivo La Guaira +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreCarabobo FC to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.39–

Recent results

Deportivo La Guaira – last 6

WDLDWL
4 Nov@ Portuguesa FC3–0W
1 Novvs Portuguesa FC2–2D
29 Oct@ Carabobo FC1–3L
26 Octvs Metropolitanos FC2–2D
21 Octvs Aragua FC3–0W
17 Octvs Trujillanos FC1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Carabobo FC – last 6

WDWDDW
5 Nov@ Metropolitanos FC2–0W
2 Novvs Metropolitanos FC1–1D
29 Octvs Deportivo La Guaira3–1W
22 Octvs Mineros de Guyana1–1D
17 Octvs Deportivo Tachira FC2–2D
11 Oct@ Anzoátegui FC1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira3–1
15 Sep 2026Carabobo FC v Deportivo La Guaira1–0
3 Apr 2026Deportivo La Guaira v Carabobo FC1–1
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?

On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carabobo FC 45%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC?

Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.