Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Metropolitanos FC v Carabobo FC in the Primera División – Thursday 5 November, 00:30 WAT, Estadio Brigido Iriarte. Metropolitanos FC sit 3rd with 4 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Carabobo FC are 1st on 11 (top of the table).
Form guide
Metropolitanos FC – form over the last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Carabobo FC 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.
Carabobo FC – form over the last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Metropolitanos FC 1–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 2 Nov 2026, finished Carabobo FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Across the last 4 meetings Metropolitanos FC have won 0s, Carabobo FC 2, with 2 draws, averaging 2.8 goals, with both sides scoring 3 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Metropolitanos FC 1.2 – 1.4 Carabobo FC in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Metropolitanos FC 36% · draw 22% · Carabobo FC 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Carabobo FC to win at 2.55 – we make it 42%, the price implies 39%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Carabobo FC. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Metropolitanos FC36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Carabobo FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.55
2.62Expected goals
1.25Metropolitanos FC xG
1.37Carabobo FC xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.2 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carabobo FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC?
Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Brigido Iriarte.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
