Derry City 46%Draw 21%Waterford 33%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.36
78%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Derry City vs Waterford prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Derry City host Waterford in the FAI Cup on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Aviva Stadium.
Form guide
Derry City – form over the last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Sligo Rovers 2–2 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Waterford – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Shelbourne 3–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 14 Sep 2026, finished Waterford 2–2 Derry City. Across the last 3 meetings Derry City have won 1, Waterford 1, with 1 draw, averaging 5.3 goals, with both sides scoring 3 times.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Derry City 1.6 – 1.4 Waterford in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Derry City 46% · draw 21% · Waterford 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Waterford to win at 3.20 – we make it 33%, the price implies 31%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Derry City 1–1 Waterford. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Derry City46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Waterford33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
3.00Expected goals
1.64Derry City xG
1.36Waterford xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 1.4 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 33%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aviva Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
