Wed 11 Nov

Iceland U21 v Greece U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Throttarvollur
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Iceland U21 34%Draw 21%Greece U21 45% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.65
78%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Greece U21 to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultGreece U21 to win45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.03

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification action on Thursday 12 November: Iceland U21 take on Greece U21 at Throttarvollur from 14:00 WAT. Iceland U21 sit 9th with 12 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Greece U21 are 3rd on 17 (in the top four).

Form guide

Iceland U21 – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Faroe Islands U21 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. 3.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Greece U21 – form over the last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Northern Ireland U21 1–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Iceland U21 1.4 – 1.7 Greece U21 in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 55% for over 2.5 goals, 61% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Iceland U21 34% · draw 21% · Greece U21 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Greece U21 to win at 2.35 – we make it 45%, the price implies 43%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Iceland U2134%fair 2.96 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Greece U2145%fair 2.20 · @2.35
3.03Expected goals
1.38Iceland U21 xG
1.65Greece U21 xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Iceland U21 1.4 – 1.7 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGreece U21 to win45%2.202.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.67
Draw no betGreece U21 (draw no bet)57%1.74–
Asian handicapIceland U21 +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.821.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.481.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.221.12
First team to scoreGreece U21 to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Greece U21 / FT Greece U2126%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.03–

Recent results

Iceland U21 – last 5

WWDLW
6 Oct@ Faroe Islands U212–0W
29 Sepvs Switzerland U215–1W
25 Sepvs France U211–1D
30 Mar@ France U211–2L
26 Marvs Estonia U216–2W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Greece U21 – last 6

WWWDLL
6 Oct@ Northern Ireland U211–0W
1 Octvs Latvia U214–2W
26 Sep@ Georgia U213–0W
30 May@ Croatia U211–1D
27 Mayvs Qatar U201–2L
31 Marvs Germany U210–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Iceland U21 and Greece U21.

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U2110910+3828
2Iceland U2110532+1818
3Greece U2110523+617
4Belarus U2110406+112
5Cyprus U2110325011
6Liechtenstein U21100010-630

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greece U21 45%.

How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our predicted score is Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.