Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 3.64 – our chance 48% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +76%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win48% · @3.64
Double chanceEither team to win80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.78
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Alianza Atletico host Sporting Cristal in the on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 22:00 WAT at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Cajamarca 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.
Sporting Cristal – form over the last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with ADT 1–1 on the road. 3.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, Sporting Cristal have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 21 Aug 2026, finished Alianza Atletico 3–1 Sporting Cristal.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 Sporting Cristal in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Alianza Atletico 32% · draw 20% · Sporting Cristal 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Sporting Cristal to win at 3.64 – we make it 48%, the price implies 27%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico32%fair 3.15 · @1.86
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
Sporting Cristal48%fair 2.06 · @3.64
2.79Expected goals
1.21Alianza Atletico xG
1.58Sporting Cristal xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting Cristal 48%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal () kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
