CONCACAF Nations League action on Sunday 15 November: Jamaica take on Mexico from 02:00 WAT.
Form guide
Jamaica – form over the last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Honduras 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Mexico – form over the last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Chile 0–2 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.7 per game.
On form, Jamaica have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Jamaica 0.8 – 1.9 Mexico in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Jamaica 16% · draw 20% · Mexico 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jamaica 0–2 Mexico. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Jamaica16%fair 6.33 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.85
Mexico64%fair 1.56 · @1.59
2.65Expected goals
0.78Jamaica xG
1.87Mexico xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jamaica 0.8 – 1.9 Mexico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win
64%
1.56
1.59
Double chance
Mexico or draw
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Mexico (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Mexico -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Mexico to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Mexico ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Jamaica – last 6
DWLWWD
6 Oct
@ Honduras
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ El Salvador
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Honduras
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Guatemala
3–2
W
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mexico – last 6
LLDDLW
7 Oct
vs Chile
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ USA
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Peru
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Colombia
1–1
D
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Mexico.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mexico 64%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Mexico?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Mexico?
Our predicted score is Jamaica 0–2 Mexico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jamaica vs Mexico?
Jamaica vs Mexico (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
